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Archive for September, 2011

Wrong Metrics and Damaging Results

customer feedback analysis“You cannot manage what you cannot measure.” Those are well known and accepted words of wisdom that have been taught to thousands of MBA students for decades. There is a lesser popular truth though—that measuring wrong things can really hurt your business. Definition, selection and design of appropriate, balanced and concise metrics, as well as the processes for continuous delivery of these metrics, are the key management challenges for every organization.

 

1.      Focusing on the “wrong” metrics will create unintended results.

 

One of the more graphic examples of “wrong” metrics is a ratio of successful convictions, widely used to measure success or reputation of public prosecutors. This one causes US taxpayers to waste hundreds of millions of dollars in court costs, compensation for wrongful imprisonment and lost productivity every year. Essentially this metric is measuring a percentage of tried cases that result in conviction against the total number of cases tried by the prosecutor. The higher the percentage of convictions, the more “successful” the prosecutor is considered to be regardless of how well justice is served, how many lives are destroyed and how much financial damage is inflicted.

 

Another example is the evaluation of a Product Manager performance based on the attainment of product forecast goals. While I am familiar with a popular definition of a Product Manager’s role as a “Product CEO,” the organizational reality does not often support this definition, as product managers rarely have administrative authority to enforce their decisions and act mostly as influencers. It is intellectually dishonest to keep them accountable for a result of a sum of aggregated decisions made by a multitude of people, but most importantly it does not help to bring desired improvements in products performance.

 

2.      Focusing on unbalanced metrics will promote bad behavior.

 

Performance is often measured by a singular metric, yet people are rarely expected to behave one-dimensionally. Everyone knows that a lot of digressions will be forgiven to a salesman who consistently makes his quota, even though his lack of desire and/or skill to forecast costs your company serious hits to profit margin. Imagine it is the end of a quarter and you are deeply discounting your product in a desperate attempt to make your company revenue numbers, just to see your “best” performer bringing in a “bluebird” deal you had no visibility of. He just caused you to give away profits, and you did not need to sacrifice for “please sign today” deals. A secondary measurement attached to accuracy of forecast and associated with commission structure can dramatically improve a company’s profitability.

 

3.      Concise metrics promote action.

 

Conversely, the convoluted metrics are a waste of time, expense and opportunity. Many Customer Satisfaction measurements are falling into this category because they are often too general, and the best cause of action you may take is to do more studies. Most companies do not even consider competitive influences on their customer’s assessment of their satisfaction with their products or services. Unless feedback from customer analysis of every key component of customer experience is continuously conducted, and in relation to competitive options available to the customers, it is very difficult to figure out why overall Customer Satisfaction is moving higher or lower, who should take any action and what kind of action should be taken.

 

In conclusion, I would like to suggest that any performance metric has to be evaluated in a holistic model as it is very easy to come up with a clever way to improve one aspect of a specific performance at a detriment of the long-term well-being of the company as a whole.

HP Soap Opera starring the TouchPad

Tablet’ Market Segment update

The last month was full of action if you follow the tablets market segment. HP first started the price discounting to “gain market share” and then dropped the “bomb” of discontinuing the TouchPad they introduced only 42 days before. The judgment is still out whether we witnessed results of really agile decision making or an example of exceptionally bad corporate self-distraction. The initial stock market reaction seems to support the latter hypothesis, and current history of HP boardroom soap opera episodes provides enough clues. The new CEO apparently wants the company out of consumer products businesses.

There is an update – It appears the decision produced a shark bait effect and caused a number of class action suites on behalf of shareholders.

In this installment of online market research update, I would like to explain the process we follow to generate these reports.

We start at the Product Reputation screen and enter name/model of a tablet and click the “Submit” button. When the metrics for the entered tablet show up on the right side of the screen, we click on the “Compare with other products” button to expose all tablets in our database.

At this date, we monitor customer generated content for 32 tablets and the Market Intelligence report will show their reputation which is calculated by processing the text of customer reviews with our opinion mining software. Keep in mind that no questions were asked about their experiences and no customer was ever contacted by us to solicit their opinions. Surveys are not our business!

We use the “Customize your report” button to select only the tablets that were updated (new customer reviews were published online) within the last 30 days and have greater than 25 customer reviews published. The total number of reviews analyzed is 9,003. The result of the customization is displayed below. Please note that the metrics are calculated on all aggregated reviews published by the customers from the time a tablet became available for purchase.


We export the CSV file and generate WoM (Word of Mouth) Share chart and Trend based on the exported data. Not surprisingly, Apple iPad earns the largest share of customer feedback at 17%, although the number is much smaller than its market share and substantially dropped from 35% only two months ago.

To discover what attributes of their customers’ experience are important, to measure how important these attributes are to the customers, and what the difference between their expectations and their experiences with each attribute is, we focus on five of the most reviewed tablets for a more detailed Customer Intelligence Analysis.

We use a two-point scale to visualize that difference.

0=unacceptable / 1=experience meets expectations / 2=delighted

 

Customers “say” that Usability (11.64%), Reliability (11.32%), Quality of Construction (9.5%) and Display (5.4%) are the most important attributes of their experience with the tablets. While all participants are providing Usability experience well above their customer’s expectations, HP TouchPad and Apple iPad 2 are the leaders in this category. Motorola and Toshiba are considered the most “reliable” tablets by their customers, while Samsung Tab continues to struggle.

Here is the access to the tablets’ online marketing research dashboard that allows to see actual customer’s feedback if you click on a specific bar.

The last chart I would like to offer depicts customer affinity for tablet’s operating system and despite all brouhaha about the TouchPad, WebOS still earns the highest score from its customers.