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Archive for March, 2011

Customers love reliability of Samsung Galaxy Tab

With introductions of new tablets from major players taking place almost every week now, we decided to check the “pulse” of customer perceptions with products of this market segment. We limited the list to four most popular products in the interest of keeping the chart neat, but you can check the reputation of other tablets we track by going to http://tinyurl.com/aaidemo, entering the product name or number like “Apple iPad 2″ and clicking on “Submit” button. The system will aggregate and analyze customer reviews to calculate the reputation metrics for you and will let you read the reviews if you want to. You can also compare it to the other tablets reviewed.

Below is a screen shot of Customer Intelligence Analysis dashboard (in private beta) that compares scores of the attributes that are most important to their customers. The importance value is indicated on the right side  and measured as an average percentage of all opinions expressed for these products.

Click on this image to enlarge it.

6,314 customer reviews were processed by the Opinion Miner® software to produce these results. It appears that Reliability (i.e. availability of the device’s to provide intended functionality to a customer) is the most important attribute of the tablet devices as 8.21% of all opinions expressed are focused on that part of the experience. Please contact us for the access to the detailed analysis of ALL attributes for these, or any other products of interest to you. Our customers use this information in their product planning process and for tuning their marketing communications.

Our research shows that customers who purchased Apple iPad 2 report their overall (CSI) expectations were exceeded by over 36%. It is 8% higher than the results achieved by original iPad and newly released Motorola Xoom.

These results, particularly about the newly introduced tablets, will most likely change within a few weeks as the customers will have more time and opportunity to experience them in wider range of circumstances, and more reviews will be posted online. We will continue to monitor the market segment perceptions as new products are introduced and keep you posted.

Tuning into signals from the tablet’s market noise

Last year’s explosion of the tablet’s market still makes many industry analysts and forecasters dizzy, but the consensus of opinions seem to be, that iPad “owns” the segment with shipping and sold-through numbers.

RBC Capital Markets expects tablet market to reach 185 million units in calendar 2014, up 83 percent compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 17 million in calendar 2010. RBC Capital forecasts global tablet revenue to increase from $11 billion in calendar 2010 to nearly $70 billion in calendar 2014.

In another article somewhat similar numbers were quoted

IDC found that almost 18 million tablets shipped worldwide in 2010–with Apple nabbing 83 percent of the market, which would come out to around 14.9 million tablets shipped.

Although IDC was relying on shipment figures and not actual sales to customers, Apple CEO Steve Jobs did specify sales figures at the iPad 2 unveiling earlier this month. He revealed that Apple sold 15 million iPads to customers in 2010.

For its part, Samsung reportedly shipped about 2 million Galaxy Tab units through 2010, but the actual sell-through to consumers was much lower. One month after its introduction, the company confirmed that they sold 1M units.

However I could not find any reports or even estimates for shipping or sold numbers of any other tablet that is currently on the market, I did see a lot of inquiries though.

For a long time I was interested in the correlation between numbers of products (units) sold and numbers of customer reviews for the product posted online and here I attempt to connect those dots.

Our aggregation algorithms found 1,299 customer reviews for Apple iPad and 294 customer reviews for Samsung Galaxy Tab. Average effectiveness of our algorithms was measured at 87%, in other words they find on average 87 online customer reviews out of 100 that can be found by a skilled, internet savvy research analyst. By applying 13% correction to the number of customer reviews found, and dividing the result by a number of iPads sold we can estimate that Apple had to sell just over 10,000 units to generate just 1 customer review (10,151). The calculations of these ratios for Samsung Galaxy Tab and other Consumer Electronics products produce very consistent results averaging around 0.014%. I did a similar analysis for flat screen TV products a few months ago.

I suggest that there are two practical implications that come out of this reasoning:

1.      The average review/product ratios could be used to estimate numbers of products sold in circumstances where such information is not disclosed by a company;

2.      The statistical significance of an issue or a benefit, reported by customer in their reviews is dramatically amplified when you consider the low percentage of customers who volunteer such information for public benefit.

Using the above mentioned logic I can offer a rough estimate of sales numbers for other, reasonably popular, tablets currently being sold.

To complete the picture I ran our Opinion Miner software on this data set to produce Customer Intelligence for these products. The result below shows a subset of these product’s attributes that are the most important to their customers, along with measurements of difference between customers expectations and their experience for each attribute. Click on the image to enlarge it.